Back

Weather Alert Detail

  • Hydrologic Outlook for Yolo County, California
  • Hydrologic Outlook issued March 07 at 2:14PM PST by NWS
  • Effective: Thursday, March 7, 2013 at 2:14 p.m.
  • Expires: Friday, March 8, 2013 at 2:15 p.m.
  • ...BELOW AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL EXPECTED FOR CALIFORNIA THIS
    SPRING...
    THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IS BELOW AVERAGE FOR ALL BASINS IN
    CALIFORNIA. DRY ANTECEDENT SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS AND LOW
    SNOWPACKS ARE MINIMIZING THE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING SNOWMELT FLOODING.
    MUCH OF THE REGION HAS EXPERIENCED VERY DRY CONDITIONS AFTER A VERY
    PRODUCTIVE NOVEMBER AND DECEMBER. MANY LOCATIONS HAVE RECORDED
    PRECIPITATION AMONG THE TOP TEN LOWEST ON RECORD FOR THE COMBINED
    MONTHS OF JANUARY AND FEBRUARY. THIS HAS REDUCED THE STATEWIDE
    SNOWPACK WATER CONTENT FROM 134 PERCENT OF AVERAGE NEAR THE START OF
    JANUARY TO ABOUT 66 PERCENT FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
    SOME RELIEF OCCURRED DURING THE EARLY PART OF MARCH...MOSTLY IN THE
    NORTHERN AND CENTRAL REGIONS OF THE STATE. HOWEVER...IT WILL TAKE A
    SERIES OF STRONG STORM SYSTEMS TO RETURN THE SNOWPACK TO NORMAL
    CONDITIONS BY APRIL 1ST... WHICH IS THE TYPICAL TIME OF MAXIMUM
    SNOWPACK ACCUMULATION. IT APPEARS VERY UNLIKELY THAT SNOWPACKS CAN
    RECOVER FROM THE CURRENT DEFICIT THIS LATE INTO THE WET SEASON.
    NOTE THAT FLOODING COULD STILL RESULT FROM HEAVY RAINFALL ALONE OR
    COMBINED WITH SNOWMELT ANYTIME BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY APRIL.
    PRECIPITATION...
    FEBRUARY 2013 WATER YEAR
    BASIN PERCENT OF AVERAGE PERCENT OF AVERAGE
    UPPER KLAMATH 26 105
    LOWER KLAMATH 41 79
    TRINITY 7 68
    EEL RIVER 22 86
    RUSSIAN 10 71
    NAPA 5 85
    SF BAY AREA 18 96
    UPPER SACRAMENTO 11 91
    CENTRAL SIERRA 13 75
    SOUTHERN SIERRA 31 71
    CENTRAL COAST
    SANTA CRUZ 5 68
    PAJARO RIVER 6 40
    SALINAS RIVER 8 41
    SAN LUIS OBISPO 16 73
    SANTA YNEZ 5 38
    SOUTH COAST
    SANTA BARBARA COAST 4 61
    VENTURA LA COASTAL 12 65
    SANTA CLARA RIVER 3 37
    LOS ANGELES RIVER 5 44
    SANTA ANA RIVER 15 44
    SAN DIEGO BASIN 24 60
    SOUTH EAST DESERTS
    OWENS RIVER 3 28
    AMARGOSA 0 65
    MOJAVE DESERT 25 53
    MOJAVE RIVER 28 62
    COLORADO RIVER 8 89
    WHITEWATER RIVER 29 33
    SNOWPACK...
    MANUAL SNOW MEASUREMENTS TAKEN BY THE CALIFORNIA COOPERATIVE SNOW
    SURVEYS CONFIRM THAT CALIFORNIA`S MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK HOLDS FAR LESS
    WATER THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...
    PERCENT OF AVG SNOWPACK PERCENT OF AVG SNOWPACK
    BASIN MARCH 1 2012 MARCH 1 2013
    SAC/NRN SIERRA 27 58
    SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY 27 66
    TULARE LAKE 34 60
    UPPER KLAMATH 67 75
    RESERVOIRS...
    A BRIGHT SPOT IS THAT STORAGE IN MANY OF CALIFORNIA`S MAJOR
    RESERVOIRS IS ABOVE AVERAGE AT THE PRESENT TIME...
    PERCENT OF AVG STORAGE
    RESERVOIR MARCH 1 2013
    SHASTA LAKE 110
    LAKE OROVILLE 111
    YUBA-BULLARDS BAR 128
    AMERICAN-FOLSOM LAKE 103
    STANISLAUS-NEW MELONES 114
    TUOLUMNE 99
    MERCED-LAKE MCCLURE 85
    SAN JOAQUIN-MILLERTON LAKE 95
    KINGS-PINE FLAT 60
    KERN-ISABELLA 41
    RUNOFF...
    CONTINUING DRY CONDITIONS DURING THE LAST 2 MONTHS IS REFLECTED IN
    THE MUCH BELOW AVERAGE RUNOFF CONDITIONS FOR FEBRUARY 28...
    FEBRUARY 2013 WATER YEAR
    BASIN PERCENT OF AVG RUNOFF PERCENT OF AVG RUNOFF
    TRINITY-SACRAMENTO 36 85
    SAN JOAQUIN 32 69
    TULARE LAKE 34 49
    UPPER KLAMATH 53 70
    STREAMFLOW FORECASTS...
    APRIL THROUGH JULY FORECASTS ARE GENERALLY BELOW TO MUCH BELOW
    AVERAGE FOR UPPER SACRAMENTO/WEST-SLOPE SIERRA NEVADA WATERSHEDS IN
    CALIFORNIA. THE APRIL THROUGH SEPTEMBER FORECAST FOR THE UPPER
    KLAMATH IS ABOUT 83 PERCENT.
    TO SUMMARIZE... THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS BELOW AVERAGE FOR ALL
    WATERSHEDS IN CALIFORNIA TYPICALLY AFFECTED BY SPRINGTIME
    SNOWMELT...AS WELL AS OTHER REGIONS IN THE STATE WHERE SNOWMELT IS
    NOT A MAJOR FACTOR IN SPRINGTIME FLOODING.